Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011
2025-04-13 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013
2025-04-20 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000016
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000014 0.000019
2025-05-04 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022
2025-05-11 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026
2025-05-18 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000030
2025-05-25 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000020 0.000036
2025-06-01 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000021 0.000040
2025-06-08 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000046
2025-06-15 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000025 0.000053
2025-06-22 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000027 0.000059
2025-06-29 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000014 0.000029 0.000068
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000014 0.000030 0.000075
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000032 0.000087
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000036 0.000103
2025-07-27 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000038 0.000119
2025-08-03 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000042 0.000140
2025-08-10 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000045 0.000162
2025-08-17 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000049 0.000190
2025-08-24 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000052 0.000212
2025-08-31 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000055 0.000245
2025-09-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000020 0.000060 0.000287